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This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.


DECEMBER 2003 KEY POINTS

Trend

The trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles fell by 1.4% to 76,058 in December 2003 compared with November 2003. The trend estimate has fallen over the last four months following more than 12 months of consecutive growth.

Growth in the trend estimate of 6.7% was recorded for December 2003 when compared with December 2002. Sales of passenger vehicles increased by 4.5% and sales of other vehicles increased by 10.9% over the period.

The trend estimate for December 2003 fell when compared with November 2003, for all states/territories. Tasmania recorded the largest fall (2.6%).

Seasonally adjusted

The seasonally adjusted estimate for December 2003 decreased by 4.8% when compared with November 2003. The Australian Capital Territory was the only state/territory which recorded an increase (0.6%).



NOTES

TREND REVISIONS

Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information see Explanatory Notes 9 and 10.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

Table 1: New Motor Vehicle Sales

		Passenger vehicles (No.)	Other vehicles (No.)	Total vehicles (No.)	Change Passenger vehicles (%)	Change Other vehicles (%)	Change Total vehicles (%)
Original
2002	October	48,269	24,063	72,332	11.2	6.3	9.5
	November	47,229	24,346	71,575	-2.2	1.2	-1.0
	December	45,317	22,656	67,973	-4.0	-6.9	-5.0
2003	January	40,015	21,155	61,170	-11.7	-6.6	-10.0
	February	43,677	23,058	66,735	9.2	9.0	9.1
	March	49,921	26,192	76,113	14.3	13.6	14.1
	April	44,602	24,263	68,865	-10.7	-7.4	-9.5
	May	49,646	28,616	78,262	11.3	17.9	13.6
	June	57,086	34,972	92,058	15.0	22.2	17.6
	July	51,450	28,071	79,521	-9.9	-19.7	-13.6
	August	49,869	26,304	76,173	-3.1	-6.3	-4.2
	September	51,749	26,042	77,791	3.8	-1.0	2.1
	October	52,180	27,045	79,225	0.8	3.9	1.8
	November	48,482	27,630	76,112	-7.1	2.2	-3.9
	December	49,834	27,952	77,786	2.8	1.2	2.2
Seasonally Adjusted
2002	October	45,376	24,345	69,721	-0.6	-2.1	-1.1
	November	45,876	24,123	69,999	1.1	-0.9	0.4
	December	42,606	21,976	64,582	-7.1	-8.9	-7.7
2003	January	47,487	26,103	73,590	11.5	18.8	13.9
	February	46,861	24,868	71,729	-1.3	-4.7	-2.5
	March	48,190	25,639	73,829	2.8	3.1	2.9
	April	48,936	26,092	75,028	1.5	1.8	1.6
	May	49,927	26,872	76,799	2.0	3.0	2.4
	June	50,370	27,355	77,725	0.9	1.8	1.2
	July	49,885	27,829	77,714	-1.0	1.7	0.0
	August	51,411	27,261	78,672	3.1	-2.0	1.2
	September	53,150	27,673	80,823	3.4	1.5	2.7
	October	49,070	27,524	76,594	-7.7	-0.5	-5.2
	November	48,303	28,109	76,412	-1.6	2.1	-0.2
	December	46,058	26,715	72,773	-4.6	-5.0	-4.8
Trend
2002	October	45,617	24,607	70,224	0.6	0.4	0.5
	November	45,965	24,727	70,692	0.8	0.5	0.7
	December	46,392	24,887	71,279	0.9	0.6	0.8
2003	January	46,925	25,108	72,033	1.1	0.9	1.1
	February	47,545	25,434	72,979	1.3	1.3	1.3
	March	48,184	25,847	74,031	1.3	1.6	1.4
	April	48,850	26,282	75,132	1.4	1.7	1.5
	May	49,610	26,712	76,322	1.6	1.6	1.6
	June	50,450	27,150	77,600	1.7	1.6	1.7
	July	51,073	27,522	78,595	1.2	1.4	1.3
	August	51,246	27,731	78,977	0.3	0.8	0.5
	September	50,954	27,800	78,754	-0.6	0.2	-0.3
	October	50,303	27,792	78,095	-1.3	0.0	-0.8
	November	49,422	27,721	77,143	-1.8	-0.3	-1.2
	December	48,459	27,599	76,058	-1.9	-0.4	-1.4

		NSW (No.)	Vic. (No.)	Qld (No.)	SA (No.)	WA (No.)	Tas. (No.)	NT (No.)	ACT (No.)	Aust. (No.)
Original
2002	October	24,618	20,185	13,456	4,499	6,627	1,203	580	1,164	72,332
	November	24,349	19,829	13,224	4,641	6,320	1,398	628	1,186	71,575
	December	21,741	19,706	12,672	4,531	5,989	1,584	585	1,165	67,973
2003	January	20,648	16,490	11,632	3,988	5,762	1,025	534	1,091	61,170
	February	21,965	18,152	12,956	4,754	6,164	1,069	582	1,093	66,735
	March	25,541	20,408	14,843	5,147	6,917	1,218	769	1,270	76,113
	April	23,588	18,368	13,386	4,507	5,948	1,177	728	1,163	68,865
	May	26,259	21,053	14,967	5,273	7,127	1,454	789	1,340	78,262
	June	31,168	24,132	18,084	6,089	8,662	1,549	866	1,508	92,058
	July	26,983	21,248	15,716	5,298	6,973	1,407	635	1,261	79,521
	August	25,391	19,799	15,248	5,263	7,048	1,589	555	1,280	76,173
	September	25,738	21,200	15,293	5,222	6,894	1,639	593	1,212	77,791
	October	25,533	21,337	15,521	5,430	7,487	2,008	607	1,302	79,225
	November	25,099	20,254	15,058	5,214	6,925	1,717	630	1,215	76,112
	December	25,113	21,071	15,265	5,404	7,161	1,860	593	1,319	77,786
Seasonally Adjusted
2002	October	23,612	18,878	13,457	4,435	6,377	1,226	605	1,131	69,721
	November	23,757	19,282	13,087	4,509	6,296	1,277	622	1,169	69,999
	December	21,013	18,521	12,178	4,326	5,691	1,095	630	1,128	64,582
2003	January	24,932	19,914	13,884	4,908	6,730	1,303	662	1,257	73,590
	February	23,990	19,517	13,660	4,992	6,456	1,274	668	1,172	71,729
	March	24,529	20,072	14,439	4,979	6,567	1,317	694	1,232	73,829
	April	25,576	20,163	14,494	5,055	6,408	1,380	694	1,258	75,028
	May	25,698	20,797	14,795	5,098	7,027	1,424	676	1,284	76,799
	June	26,033	21,117	14,713	5,116	7,285	1,494	665	1,302	77,725
	July	25,685	20,841	15,479	5,191	7,149	1,479	645	1,245	77,714
	August	26,437	20,464	15,789	5,349	7,179	1,578	603	1,273	78,672
	September	27,424	21,218	15,855	5,414	7,322	1,612	678	1,300	80,823
	October	24,508	20,039	15,601	5,314	7,240	1,996	631	1,265	76,594
	November	24,665	20,301	15,586	5,258	7,080	1,647	640	1,235	76,412
	December	23,917	19,549	14,261	5,083	6,828	1,268	625	1,242	72,773
Trend
2002	October	23,877	19,171	13,434	4,466	6,236	1,255	609	1,176	70,224
	November	23,982	19,318	13,468	4,540	6,329	1,256	620	1,179	70,692
	December	24,131	19,460	13,551	4,650	6,403	1,262	637	1,185	71,279
2003	January	24,338	19,623	13,703	4,776	6,462	1,276	657	1,198	72,033
	February	24,604	19,842	13,929	4,893	6,524	1,299	673	1,215	72,979
	March	24,888	20,100	14,190	4,988	6,616	1,332	682	1,235	74,031
	April	25,194	20,355	14,480	5,059	6,743	1,366	682	1,253	75,132
	May	25,575	20,590	14,783	5,118	6,899	1,409	677	1,271	76,322
	June	26,013	20,808	15,108	5,179	7,060	1,477	667	1,288	77,600
	July	26,338	20,934	15,390	5,238	7,183	1,553	659	1,300	78,595
	August	26,411	20,926	15,553	5,285	7,235	1,615	651	1,301	78,977
	September	26,245	20,810	15,588	5,302	7,218	1,650	646	1,295	78,754
	October	25,911	20,632	15,510	5,295	7,165	1,655	642	1,285	78,095
	November	25,472	20,414	15,350	5,270	7,095	1,633	637	1,272	77,143
	December	24,985	20,183	15,152	5,234	7,021	1,591	633	1,259	76,058